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Rohan PaulUpdated Oct 25 21:37

Anthropic report: Employees expect AI to handle 75% of their current work by 2030, while only 28% of the US public agrees

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A new Anthropic research report shows that its employees expect AI to complete 75% of their current work by 2030, while US workers gave a figure of 28%. The expectation gap widens with task difficulty: 91% of employees believe AI will be able to make Nobel Prize-level discoveries by 2030, compared with 39% of the public.

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The gap between Anthropic employees' and the US public's expectations for AI replacing work widens as task difficulty increases, serving as a reference for observing the perception gap inside and outside the industry.

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Rohan Paul

@rohanpaul_ai

Anthropic’s junior share of technical headcount slid from 21% to 14% while the company tripled in size, and about a third of Anthropic’s ML managers and a fifth of its SWE managers said AI has them hiring less. During the same time its agents logged 6x human hours. https://t.co/jBpoeyPvv8

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Anthropic’s junior share of technical headcount slid from 21% to 14% while the company tripled in size, and about a third of Anthropic’s ML managers and a fifth of its SWE managers said AI has them hiring less. During the same time its agents logged 6x human hours. https://t.co/jBpoeyPvv8

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Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their current work by 2030; US workers say 28%.

The gap grows with difficulty: 91% of staff expect AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, against 39% of the public.

- From Anthropics, new research report. https://t.co/1cLvEInUij

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Rohan Paul