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Cailian PressUpdated Oct 24 23:11

Former Google CEO Schmidt: AI Eliminates Coordination Costs, Large Companies Can Operate Normally Even After Cutting 20% of Staff

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Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt believes that as AI takes over administrative and management functions, large companies can continue operating normally even after cutting about 20% of their jobs, because AI agents can eliminate a large portion of "coordination costs." Using a hypothetical company with 10,000 employees as an example, he said that as many as several thousand employees may not be needed, but companies must legally and humanely arrange transfers or departures for affected employees. Traders on the prediction market Kalshi believe there is about a 94% probability that layoffs in the U.S. information sector in 2026 will exceed 2025 levels.

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Former Google CEO: AI will eliminate massive coordination costs; large companies can operate as usual even with 20% fewer jobs

Cailian Press, Zhou Ziyi, Editor: Lin Qi, 2026-10-22 15:15

① Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt believes that as artificial intelligence takes over administrative and management functions, large companies can operate as usual even with 20% fewer jobs; ② Schmidt said these AI platforms can eliminate a large portion of coordination costs; ③ In addition, on the prediction market platform Kalshi, traders also expect corporate layoffs to expand further.

Cailian Press, October 22 (Editor: Zhou Ziyi) — Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt believes that as artificial intelligence (AI) takes over administrative and management functions, large companies can operate as usual with about 20% fewer employees.

On a podcast program, Schmidt, speaking about a hypothetical company with 10,000 employees, noted, "My guess is that you probably have as many as a few thousand employees who are not really needed." However, he also cautioned that companies must find ways to "legally and humanely" place employees who need to be reassigned or leave because their positions are no longer necessary.

Schmidt pointed out that large companies waste a great deal of time coordinating work among employees, departments and managers.

He recalled that during his time running Google, he spent 12 hours a day attending various meetings. In this regard, he believes AI agents can eliminate most of that coordination work: "These AI platforms can eliminate a large portion of 'coordination costs.'"

He added that companies still need outstanding inventors, salespeople, leaders, and employees responsible for liaising with the government.

Schmidt also mentioned a friend on the program, saying that this person cut 20% of staff while the company's business was growing rapidly, and noted that the layoffs targeted so-called "glue people," namely those mainly responsible for "planning and processing data."

Schmidt did not disclose the friend's name, but the description closely matches the situation of Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince. Prince previously published an article explaining his company's layoff measures.

Although Cloudflare's revenue grew 34% in the first fiscal quarter, it still announced plans in May to cut more than 1,100 positions, a move seen as part of the company's strategy to transition toward artificial intelligence.

Prince mostly categorized the laid-off employees as "measurers," namely employees responsible for management, compliance and administrative work.

In an interview in September, Prince mentioned that a team of about 20 people previously needed two weeks to prepare investor-related documents before an earnings release. With the help of artificial intelligence, that process now takes only three minutes.

Layoffs may expand further

In addition, prediction markets also expect layoffs to expand further. On the prediction market platform Kalshi, traders believe there is about a 94% probability that layoffs in the U.S. information industry in 2026 will exceed the 2025 level.

However, Schmidt also expressed doubt about whether most established companies can carry out the necessary organizational changes to fully leverage the productivity gains brought by artificial intelligence. He said, "Of the companies that listen to these views, almost none will actually make the necessary corporate culture changes."

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Cailian Press statement: The content of this article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors who act on it do so at their own risk.

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