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SwyxUpdated Oct 25 21:55

swyx on DeepSeek GPU revenue data: lifetime value per card up about 30%

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Citing DeepSeek production data disclosed by Latent.Space, swyx says a single cluster processes 155T tokens per day with a 96% input cache hit rate, yielding $38 in revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices. He believes this raises the lifetime value of every GPU sold by about 30%, corresponding to roughly $600 billion in market value potential, and jokes that the more you buy, the more you earn.

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AI score 51

Using the GPU revenue data disclosed by DeepSeek, the author extrapolates the potential impact of changes in per-card value on the valuation of the compute market.

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Latent.Space

@latentspacepod

deepseek's production numbers are kinda wild: 155T tokens/day from one cluster (96% input cache hits) and $38 revenue/GPU-hour at off-peak prices. at $5–8/GPU-hour, that’s ~80% margin on GPU costs alone. at DeepSeek prices!! we dug into the math, their 72-hour cache, and what actually got open sourced in today's AINews: https://t.co/NcwbxbaqGn

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deepseek's production numbers are kinda wild: 155T tokens/day from one cluster (96% input cache hits) and $38 revenue/GPU-hour at off-peak prices. at $5–8/GPU-hour, that’s ~80% margin on GPU costs alone. at DeepSeek prices!! we dug into the math, their 72-hour cache, and what actually got open sourced in today's AINews: https://t.co/NcwbxbaqGn

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i retired from the business of making single-stock calls a decade ago but trust me when i say that the stock market still has no idea that what happened

every single gpu sold gained ~30% in lifetime value today and the stock should be up by about $600B lol

the more you buy, the more you buy

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Swyx