BallotBench adds a trading track
Karina announced that BallotBench is adding a trading track. The cited Thoughtful post explains: they gave 9 models $50 each in real money on Kalshi plus $10K each in simulated funds, and had them place bets on the midterm elections based on their own forecasts; after 24 hours, Claude Fable was up $1.59 (+3.2%) and Gemini was up $0.80 (+1.6%).
View original postOur AI forecasters now trade the midterms! We gave 9 models $50 each in real money on Kalshi + $10K each in simulation to place bets based on their forecasts. 24 hours in: Claude Fable is up $1.59 (+3.2%), Gemini $0.80 (+1.6%) Watch live: https://t.co/YgKV75W0fC https://t.co/vmtVan8ydc
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Our AI forecasters now trade the midterms! We gave 9 models $50 each in real money on Kalshi + $10K each in simulation to place bets based on their forecasts. 24 hours in: Claude Fable is up $1.59 (+3.2%), Gemini $0.80 (+1.6%) Watch live: https://t.co/YgKV75W0fC https://t.co/vmtVan8ydc
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We added trading track for @ballotbench!