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METR reviews the "Automated R&D Risk" chapter of Anthropic's August 2026 risk reportDevelopments
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Nov 5
METR BlogFirst-party
METR reviews the "Automated R&D Risk" chapter of Anthropic's August 2026 risk report
After reviewing the "Automated R&D Risk" chapter of Anthropic's August 2026 risk report, METR considers that, as of July 15, the likelihood that internally deployed models would directly automate R&D in critical domains or trigger catastrophic risk was indeed low; however, the report's claim that the early-warning threshold had not been crossed relied on contestable judgments not clearly explained in the public report. METR believes the model may already have crossed that threshold, and that the public report as a whole underestimated the degree of acceleration at the time.