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Ethan Mollick offers a judgment, arguing that the capability gap between labs' best internal models and the best public models has widened over the past year. He also notes that there is currently a lack of effective measurement of this gap, and speculates that the gap will continue to widen, especially after Fable was temporarily banned. This judgment currently appears only in Mollick's own statements, with no other factual developments or official evidence to supplement it.
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Ethan Mollick: The gap between labs' internal models and public models may be wideningDevelopments
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Oct 30
Ethan Mollick
Ethan Mollick: The gap between labs' internal models and public models may be widening
Ethan Mollick points out that there is currently no effective way to measure the capability gap between a lab's strongest internal model and its strongest publicly released model. He speculates that this gap has continued to widen over the past year, especially after Fable was temporarily banned.