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Ethan Mollick offered a judgment, arguing that in the short term AI helps attackers more than defenders. He also stated that current evidence is not sufficient, but most academic papers modeling the relevant dynamics appear to indicate that, because the marginal cost of attacks is very low in the short term, AI initially helps attackers more than defenders. This judgment was published on October 23, 2026, and there are currently no subsequent developments.
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Ethan Mollick
Ethan Mollick: AI is more beneficial to attackers in the short term
Ethan Mollick stated that the current evidence is insufficient, but most academic papers modeling the relevant dynamics seem to indicate that, because the marginal cost of attacks is very low in the short term, AI initially helps attackers more than defenders.
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