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  9. Huxiu

    $1.65 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments and a 166-Fold Token Price Gap: Three Endgame Scenarios for the AI Capital Game

    The author reviewed the financial reports of the five major U.S. tech giants and found that more than 85% of Alphabet's and Amazon's quarterly profits come from unrealized gains on equity investments; their combined off-balance-sheet long-term purchase and lease commitments total approximately $1.65 trillion, already exceeding on-balance-sheet liabilities. Capital expenditure by the five giants is projected at $769.2 billion in 2026, while annual AI application revenue is about $200 billion, leaving a gap of roughly 5 times. After comparing China-U.S. pricing, the author notes that OpenAI charges $30 per million output Tokens while DeepSeek charges only $0.18, a price gap of 166 times, and concludes that the most likely endgame is that one node runs into trouble first and the problem then propagates through the chain of cross-shareholdings.

    The author reviewed the financial reports of the five major U.S. tech giants and found that more than 85% of Alphabet's and Amazon's quarterly profits come from unrealized gains on equity investments; their combined off-balance-sheet long-term purchase and lease commitments total approximately $1.65 trillion, already exceeding on-balance-sheet liabilities. Capital expenditure by the five giants is projected at $769.2 billion in 2026, while annual AI application revenue is about $200 billion, lea

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    #hot-signal#English text is being prepared.#Industry news#OpenAI

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