Altman Responds to Questions Over the $1.4 Trillion Compute Bill
On the BG2 podcast, investor Brad Gerstner confronted Sam Altman in front of Microsoft's CEO: OpenAI has $13 billion in annual revenue, so why dare sign a $1.4 trillion compute bill? Altman responded that if anyone wants to sell OpenAI shares, he can immediately help find a buyer, and he looks forward to the company going public so that naysayers who short it get burned. He believes what is truly fatal is hoarding too little compute and being unable to build the next-generation model, and he laid out four trump cards: ChatGPT subscriptions, AI cloud services, self-developed consumer hardware, and fully automated scientific research.
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当 Altman 当着微软 CEO 的面放狠话,我们终于看清了 AI 牌桌上最残酷的死法。 年入 130 亿,凭什么敢签 1.4 万.亿美元的算力账单?在 BG2 播客上,投资人 Brad Gerstner 当着微软 CEO 的面,把全市场最尖锐的一笔烂账拍在了 Sam Altman 脸上。 Altman 连账本都没翻,直接回敬了一句狠话: 嫌风险大想卖掉 OpenAI 股份,我立刻帮你找买家; 我甚至盼着公司上市,好看那些唱衰的人去直接做空,然后被烧得体无完肤。 从财务算账到巨头豪赌: 传统财务模型的逻辑是量力而行,花十倍于收入的钱买硬件就是找死。 但 Altman 彻底反了过来: 现阶段真正能让 OpenAI 万劫不复的,不是算力买多付不起账, 而是算力囤少,连下一代模型都造不出来。 撑起 1.4 万亿算力黑洞的四张底牌: ChatGPT 订阅猛涨 → 下场做核心 AI 云服务 → 自研 AI 消费硬件 → 靠全自动科研榨出指数级价值。 这就像 19 世纪抢修横跨大陆的铁路网: 财务算的是今年车票还不起钢轨钱, 大亨算的是今天不借债铺铁轨,明天矿山全长在别人家。 不买算力,连上桌亏钱的资格都没有。 在技术底座狂飙的抢地盘阶段,拿静态利润表去审判未来五年的重资产投入,永远只能得出看空的结论。 看懂巨头野心的标准: 别看它现在赚多少钱,要看它敢拿多大的杠杆押注下一代基础设施。 不过听完狠话从另外一个角度看: 放话吓阻空头本就是维持估值的必修课, 当 Altman 宣布自己也要做 AI 云服务时,金主微软 CEO 就在身旁,两边同室操戈已经摆上台面。 四年填平 1.4 万亿,依然是商业史上没人验证过的险棋。 算小账的人担心账单还不上, 算大账的人只担心算力买少了连输的资格都没有。 https://t.co/lXGTfS8cQa
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RT @AYi_AInotes: When Altman made his bold remarks right in front of Microsoft's CEO, we finally saw clearly the cruelest way to die at the AI poker table.
With annual revenue of 13 billion, how dare he sign a 1.4 trillion-dollar compute bill? On the BG2 podcast, investor Brad Gerstner, right in front of Microsoft's CEO, took the market's most...