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On October 16, 2026, Collective[i] co-founder Stephen Messer wrote an article rebutting the AI doomsday narrative. In the article, he pointed out that the AI revolution has been underway for thirteen years and large language models have been widely adopted for three years, yet the U.S. unemployment rate remained in the 4.3% to 4.5% range from 2025 through the first three quarters of 2026; he cited a March 2026 paper by an Anthropic economist, as well as Danish data covering 25,000 employees and 7,000 enterprises, and said no rise in unemployment had been found in jobs highly exposed to AI. Messer argues that doomsayers shifted from the jobs threat to AGI existential risk because a dangerous narrative makes them appear important. At present, this view is presented in a Fortune Tech report, and there have been no subsequent developments.
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The Death of Humanity: Why AI Doom Theories Don't Hold UpDevelopments
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Stephen Messer publishes an article refuting AI doomsday arguments
Source:Fortune Tech
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Oct 16
Fortune Tech
The Death of Humanity: Why AI Doom Theories Don't Hold Up
Collective[i] co-founder Stephen Messer wrote an article rebutting AI doomsday theories, pointing out that the AI revolution has been underway for thirteen years and large language models have been widely adopted for three years, yet the U.S. unemployment rate remained in the 4.3% to 4.5% range from 2025 through the first three quarters of 2026. He cited a March 2026 paper by Anthropic economists and Danish data covering 25,000 employees and 7,000 enterprises, saying no rise in unemployment was found in jobs highly exposed to AI. He believes doomsayers shifted from job threats to AGI existential risks because dangerous narratives make them appear important.