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In a report obtained by Bloomberg, the environmental organization Sierra Club estimates that AI data centers planned in the United States will add 618 million tons of carbon emissions to the power sector between 2025 and 2030, equivalent to a 42% increase in the power sector's emissions. This could largely offset the sector's 15 years of emissions reductions and raise total U.S. power sector emissions to 2.1 billion tons in 2030. The report also notes that these data centers' self-built off-grid power sources could bring more than an additional 460 million tons of emissions. Judgments among institutions differ markedly: Rhodium Group believes that even under the most pessimistic scenario, power sector emissions in 2040 will still be 24% lower than in 2025; Sightline Climate estimates that about one-third to one-half of U.S. data center projects originally scheduled to come online this year may be delayed or canceled.
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Oct 30
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Sierra Club Report: US AI Data Center Expansion May Offset 15 Years of Emissions Reductions in the Power Sector
The environmental organization Sierra Club estimates that planned AI data centers in the United States will generate an additional approximately 618 million tons of carbon dioxide between 2025 and 2030, equivalent to a 42% increase in power-sector-related emissions, and may essentially offset 15 years of emissions reductions in the sector. The report says that by 2030 total emissions from the US power sector could rise to 2.1 billion tons, a forecast 2 to 4 times higher than a year and a half ago. Judgments among institutions diverge markedly: Rhodium Group believes that even under the most pessimistic scenario, emissions in 2040 will still be 24% lower than in 2025, while Sightline Climate estimates that about one-third to one-half of US data center projects originally scheduled to come online this year may be delayed or canceled.
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Sierra Club Estimate: US AI Data Centers Could Add 618 Million Tons of Carbon Emissions by 2030
The environmental nonprofit Sierra Club, in a report obtained by Bloomberg, estimates that planned AI data centers in the US will add 618 million tons of carbon emissions to the power sector between 2025 and 2030, an increase of 42%, equivalent to reversing 15 years of emissions reductions and bringing the sector's 2030 emissions to 2.1 billion tons. The report also notes that these data centers building their own off-grid power sources could bring more than 460 million tons of additional emissions, roughly equal to Mexico's annual emissions. Forecasts from various institutions vary widely, with the difference between the lowest and highest values exceeding the combined electricity consumption of California and Florida; even under its most pessimistic scenario, Rhodium Group still expects power-sector emissions in 2040 to be 24% lower than in 2025.
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