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On October 29, 2026, Sakana AI released a social media analysis report on the U.S. midterm elections, focusing on the Texas Senate race. The analysis covered 2,042 posts and 705,976 reactions on X by the two candidates and the two parties' state organizations. Its narrative analysis system extracts narratives according to "who did what and how it was evaluated," and cross-checks them against the original texts using multiple AI models; it also uses the product Sakana Marlin to retrieve public information such as polls, campaign finance, prediction markets, and news reports, and compares it with observations on X. The report states that before the runoff, most of the support Paxton received came from intra-party mobilization, and after the runoff his support share fell from about 50% to just under 20%, and that the shift in evaluations of the two candidates occurred about two months earlier than judgment adjustments by institutions such as the Cook Political Report. There have been no subsequent developments so far.
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Sakana AI uses AI to analyze the US midterm elections: about 710,000 X reactions to the Texas Senate raceDevelopments
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Oct 29
Sakana AI：BlogFirst-party
Sakana AI uses AI to analyze the US midterm elections: about 710,000 X reactions to the Texas Senate race
Sakana AI has released an AI analysis case study of the US midterm elections, focusing on the Texas Senate race and analyzing 2,042 posts and 705,976 reactions on X from two candidates and two state party organizations. Its narrative analysis system extracts narratives according to "who did what and how it was evaluated," and cross-checks them against the original text using multiple AI models; meanwhile, it uses the product Sakana Marlin to retrieve public information such as polls, campaign funding, prediction markets, and reports, and compares it with observations on X. The article states that most of the support Paxton received before the runoff came from intra-party mobilization, that after the runoff his support share fell from about 50% to just under 20%, and that the shift in evaluations of the two candidates preceded judgment adjustments by institutions such as the Cook Political Report by about two months.