开放模型当前的力量格局:中国实验室为何领先
Interconnects 作者 Nathan Lambert 公开其为美国国会成员及幕僚准备的开放权重模型简报讲稿,梳理中美在开放模型上的力量对比。文中称自 2025 年 4 月起中国 AI 公司已是开放权重模型的明显领先者,Hugging Face 下载量上中国约为美国的 2 倍(3.2B 对 1.6B),Artificial Analysis 智能指数上中国开放模型领先美国同类,中国开放权重模型约落后美国闭源前沿 2-5 个月。作者还引用 OpenRouter 数据称开放模型周处理量从 2025 年 9 月的约 1T tokens 增至如今的约 80T tokens,中国模型份额从约 70% 升至 80% 以上,并认为知识蒸馏只能解释 1-2 个月的差距。
rld where GLM-5.2 and Kimi K3 , some of the latest, leading Chinese models, have enacted a step change in the commercial viability of open models — crossing a similar threshold in agentic capabilities that Anthropic’s Claude Code crossed in December of 2025. America was the early leader in open language models, primarily through Meta’s Llama models, which were used extensively across research and commercial tasks. Chinese open-weight models surpassed American open-weight models in these two key
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