Ethan Mollick on AI Progress and 2027 Predictions
Ethan Mollick reposted and praised Derek Thompson's new podcast episode. The episode asked him to discuss where his own judgments about AI have been off, and covered why experts underestimate progress in model capabilities yet overestimate how quickly AI will transform the macroeconomy, the sociology of AI swarms, the end of prompting, 2027 predictions, and his new book "CO-EXISTENCE."
View original postNew pod: 'YOU'RE NOT AGI-PILLED ENOUGH' I asked @emollick to tell me what I'm getting wrong about AI. We also talked about: - why so many experts keep underrating the rate of progress for model capabilities - why so many experts keep *overrating* how rapidly powerful AI will change the macroeconomy - why the answer to the previous question starts with "O-rings and garbage cans" - the sociology of AI swarms - the paradoxes of AI use (or: 'every technological augmentation is also an amputation,' per McLuhan) - the end of prompting (or: what happens if personal AI agents get so good at anticipating our needs that humans, once the prompter, become the prompted) - 2027 predictions and ... his excellent new book CO-EXISTENCE https://t.co/FKNx0s2Brp
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New pod: 'YOU'RE NOT AGI-PILLED ENOUGH' I asked @emollick to tell me what I'm getting wrong about AI. We also talked about: - why so many experts keep underrating the rate of progress for model capabilities - why so many experts keep *overrating* how rapidly powerful AI will change the macroeconomy - why the answer to the previous question starts with "O-rings and garbage cans" - the sociology of AI swarms - the paradoxes of AI use (or: 'every technological augmentation is also an amputation,' per McLuhan) - the end of prompting (or: what happens if personal AI agents get so good at anticipating our needs that humans, once the prompter, become the prompted) - 2027 predictions and ... his excellent new book CO-EXISTENCE https://t.co/FKNx0s2Brp
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This was a great conversation!