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Johann Rehberger / Embrace The Red更新于 10月14日 08:54

Johann Rehberger:智能体让所有漏洞都变浅

Given Enough Agents, All Bugs Become Shallow · Embrace The Red

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安全研究者 Johann Rehberger 认为,智能体正变得极擅长发现安全漏洞,他在博文中引用 Anthropic 同日发布的 Mythos Preview 数据:Opus 4.6 在数百次尝试中仅两次成功利用 Firefox JS 引擎漏洞,而 Mythos Preview 成功 181 次。Anthropic 将 Mythos 以受限预览形式开放,并宣布 Project Glasswing,联合 AWS、Cisco、Microsoft、Linux Foundation、CrowdStrike、Palo Alto Networks、NVIDIA 等公司加固关键软件,同时捐赠最高 1 亿美元额度加 400 万美元给开源软件。Rehberger 指出,能力提升主要改变攻击者的吞吐量而非人数,组织快速部署补丁将成为最大挑战,并预计 6-12 个月后开源权重模型将具备接近能力。

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作者结合自身测试与 Anthropic 数据,梳理智能体找漏洞能力跃升对攻防节奏和补丁部署的影响。

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Agents are becoming extremely effective at finding security vulnerabilities. They are relentless in analyzing code and you can spin up multiple of them to go through source code quickly.

given enough agents, all bugs are shallow— Johann Rehberger (@wunderwuzzi23) February 10, 2026

It is an emerging capability that many security researchers and bug bounty hunters have observed over the last year.

Gadi Evron posted about the upcoming AI Vulnerability Cataclysm last year to help raise awareness.

Increases in Security Capabilities

Today Anthropic announced Mythos - Preview, and according to their announcement the model is very capable in performing cyber security research and attacks. It’s so powerful that access to the model is gated to a handful of companies.

The information shared by Anthropic highlights a significant increase in capabilities, most notable agents powered by the model can identify and exploit previously unknown vulnerabilities.

According to Anthropic’s post Opus 4.6 succeeded at exploiting Firefox JS engine vulns only twice out of hundreds of attempts, but Mythos Preview succeeded 181 times.

That is a significant improvement.

Even though a footnote in Anthropic’s post highlights that this using a dedicated testing harness without the Firefox sandbox or other defense-in-depth mitigations, it’s a significant progression.

Anthropic will not release Mythos publicly (for now), it’s available as a gated preview only.

Finding Security Bugs

Specifically, the red team post highlights details of some of the identified vulnerabilities. Like a 27-year-old OpenBSD SACK bug, a FFmpeg bug, and the 17-year-old FreeBSD NFS RCE. So, there are some quite severe and interesting findings.

It will be interesting to learn what kind of vulnerabilities it finds in closed source software, and hopefully Microsoft and others share outcomes of their efforts as well.

When companies release security patches for their products, these patches get immediately reverse engineered by security researchers to identify the root cause of the patched issue, with the goal to build an exploit.

We have seen researchers use LLMs for that task, and Anthropic highlights that they investigated this capability also. And it’s scary, because according to their data points Mythos now starts succeeding at times. I’m still taking this with a grain of salt. Exploit development is very difficult, but I do believe that the trajectory is there.

The window between disclosure and exploitation was narrowing already, but it might eventually collapse.

And some companies hide patches in larger updates. So the next logical step will be to review and diff all software updates, not just CVEs and patches. LLMs make such tasks feasible.

Democratizing Offensive Security

An important part of Anthropic’s post is the fact that newer models allow non-security people to find and exploit systems.

Engineers at Anthropic with no formal security training have asked Mythos Preview to find remote code execution vulnerabilities overnight, and woken up the following morning to a complete, working exploit.

What happens now that the bar for performing successful cyberattacks drops rapidly?

We should see some increase in threat actors, but it will not scale proportionally with the amount of 0-days. Just having the capability doesn’t mean there is an intent. Most people typically don’t want to be criminals.

What does change is throughput, especially for already active threat actors. They can:

find vulnerabilities faster; weaponize them faster; run more operations in parallel

Threat actors are motivated by goals. If achieving those goals, like ransoming a company for Bitcoin, becomes simpler and more effective, then even though the number of actors doesn’t increase significantly, the number and frequency of attacks will.

It’s plausible that adversaries have found and exploited some of the newly discovered vulnerabilities already in the past. So, these new LLM-powered capabilities are a good thing for securing systems in the long run, if we can keep up with remediation and patching!

The biggest challenge for organizations is typically to get vendor fixes deployed.

Even when patches are available, it does not mean that the problem is gone.

Organizations often take a very long time to apply patches, and at times no patch management is present at all. This is where the industry needs to adjust, and new innovations could help.

Project Glasswing

To try to raise awareness and tackle some of these challenges Anthropic announced Project Glasswing.

Project Glasswing is an initiative to secure the world’s most critical software for the AI era

It’s an effort that multiple large companies, such as AWS, Cisco, Microsoft, Linux Foundation, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, NVIDIA,.. joined.

Anthropic also donates up to $100M credits + $4M to Open Source Software.

This means a lot of good things are happening already to help identify and patch the “low-hanging” LLM fruits (difficult for humans, but easy for LLMs). As the testing harnesses, approaches and capabilities improve, and reruns happen more vulnerabilities will be discovered.

Isolation Concerns For Testing

As systems become more capable, Anthropic realized that current security benchmarks are maxed out, and hence capabilities are evaluated against real-world targets in isolated environments.

This raises a concern in case further step-function improvements occur. How will AI labs, researchers properly isolate such systems. Especially when the AI is specifically tasked to identify vulnerabilities and exploit them, it might identify a flaw in the isolation boundary to pull in more resources to help with bug findings for instance.

Anthropic does mention that they “arranged a 24-hour period of internal alignment review” before proceeding with wide range internal usage on February, 24.

A fun anecdote from my side. In my testing harness, Opus 4.6. figured out a way to sudo, and install gdb and other tools which it seemed would be useful for debugging a buffer overflow that it found while testing the target.

As a side note, in the model card it also shows that Mythos shows improved resistance to indirect prompt injection, which matters as these agents interact with untrusted inputs.

Open weight (sometimes generically called open source) models are usually not that far behind the frontier labs. So it’s likely that 6-12 months from now comparable capabilities will be available to anyone in the world.

The next 12-18 months might be rough, as offensive capabilities arrive before patches.

This was all predicted by the Situational Awareness paper, from former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner. He said there is a scary time in between where attacker will have the upside, and it seems we are entering this period.

Conclusion

With all of this actually comes a great opportunity, which is that many of the core projects that run the Internet and computing systems are going through a security push at the moment.

This is extremely good.

Overall, by what Anthropic shared, it’s clear that things are accelerating, and that the industry has to come together. It’s a great opportunity to improve the security posture quickly.

There are big challenges around deployment of patches and that these capabilities are also used by threat actors. The one thing organizations really have to figure out is quicker roll-out of patches.

A monthly patch Tuesday might soon not cut it anymore if you want to stay protected.

I’m quite curious how large vendors of client-side enterprise software will react to this new reality that is approaching fast.

In case you were not familiar with the title pun of this post, it’s about Linus’s law that states “Given enough eyeballs, all bugs become shallow.”

Let’s hope that the industry figures out how to deploy patches quickly without breaking too much.

Updates

April 9: Refined section on “Democratizing Offensive Security” to better clarify the distinction between capability and intent.

References

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来源

Johann Rehberger / Embrace The Red