François Chollet:软件工程全面自动化的四点观察
Some observations about the "total" automation of software engineering:
François Chollet 指出,软件工程师数量比 2025 年更多且需求仍在增长,工程师工作量也从未如此之大,但代码已基本由智能体撰写约 100%。然而,采用 AI 并未推动这些公司利润增长,因为自动化系统某一环节只会把瓶颈转移到别处。
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Some observations about the "total" automation of software engineering:
1. There are more software engineers now than in 2025, and demand is growing.
2. Software engineers have never worked harder than they do now.
3. They largely don't write code anymore, agents write ~100% of the code.
4. The bottom line of the companies that employs these engineers and agents (i.e. the terminal purpose of all this code) is typically not budging as a result of AI adoption.
This is why you have to think in terms of systems. Automating one aspect of a system creates its own friction and moves the bottlenecks elsewhere.