FT:OpenAI 与 Anthropic 收入口径差异放大市场波动
FT: Yesterday's market fallout shows how influential OpenAI and Anthropic have become, even though both are still private companies.
FT 指出,昨日市场波动显示 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 虽仍未上市,影响力已足以牵动市场,Oracle 和 Nvidia 大幅下跌,Nasdaq 100 跌 1.4%。两家公司收入确认方式不同,OpenAI 按扣除 Microsoft 等合作方分成后的净额计收入,Anthropic 按通过云合作方的销售总额计收入,OpenAI 那个更高的 70B 美元 ARR 数字并非公司自己给出,而是投资者按 Anthropic 口径放大推算的。两种方法都符合美国 GAAP,同一业务可报出相差数十亿美元的 run rate;报道称 &Y 是 Anthropic 的审计方,Deloitte 审计 OpenAI。Oracle 正借款为一份 300B 美元、为期 5 年的 OpenAI 合同扩产,该合同约占其 638B 美元积压订单的 47%,S&P 将 OpenAI 列为核心信用风险。
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FT 指出 OpenAI 与 Anthropic 收入口径不同,同一业务可报出相差数十亿美元的 run rate,读者可借此理解未上市 AI 公司财务信号的局限。
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FT: Yesterday's market fallout shows how influential OpenAI and Anthropic have become, even though both are still private companies. Oracle and Nvidia fell sharply and the Nasdaq 100 lost 1.4%.
OpenAI counts revenue net of what partners such as Microsoft keep, while Anthropic counts gross sales through cloud partners.
The higher ARR number for OpenAI ($70B.) never came from the company; investors built it by grossing up its figures to match Anthropic’s method.
Both methods are allowed under US GAAP, so the same business can report headline run rates billions of dollars apart.
As per reports, &Y is the auditor of Anthropic while Deloitte is auditing OpenAI.
> Oracle is borrowing to build capacity for a $300B, 5-year OpenAI contract worth about 47% of its $638B backlog, and S&P flags OpenAI as a central credit risk.
> Microsoft, which owns about 27% of OpenAI, tied 45% of its $625B commercial backlog to the lab in January and booked a $7.58B recapitalisation gain.
> Amazon and Nvidia committed $50B and $30B to OpenAI’s March round, while AMD granted it warrants for up to 160M shares vesting as it deploys 6GW.
Much of that capital returns as chip and cloud orders, so softer OpenAI revenue will hit suppliers’ sales and stakes together.
Without audited accounts until OpenAI becomes a public company, it’s run rate is the main outside signal on whether those bills get paid.