Google 科学 AI 在 CDC 流感预测评估中排名第一
Google's science AI ranks #1 in CDC evaluation
Google 用 AI 构建的流感预测模型在 CDC 2025-26 流感季评估中排名第一,在 39 个合格模型中与观测到的住院人数最吻合。该模型基于 AI 工具 Empirical Research Assistance(ERA)开发,相关研究已发表于《Nature》,其底层技术现已作为实验性科学工具向受信任测试者开放。
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A flu forecasting model built with Google AI was the best at forecasting flu-related hospital admissions during the 2025-26 season, the Centers for Disease Control announced this week.
From October through May, the CDC’s FluSight combines weekly submissions from government, industry, and academic teams predicting U.S. hospital admissions for the current week and three weeks into the future. The CDC uses the combined forecast each week to communicate the anticipated state-level demand for medical services.
The end-of-season analysis published this week shows that of 39 eligible models, Google’s best matched the season’s observed hospital admissions. This performance validates our confidence that AI combined with human ingenuity will improve our ability to forecast diseases worldwide.
Google forecasts were developed using Empirical Research Assistance, an AI tool that generates optimization algorithms across a range of scientific fields. Research on ERA was recently published in the journal “Nature.” ERA’s underlying technology is now available to trusted testers as part of our experimental science tools.