DeepMind 创始人 Hassabis 将 AGI 时间表从五年缩短至两到三年
Deepmind founder Hassabis shortens AGI timeline from five to two to three years
Google DeepMind 创始人、诺贝尔化学奖得主 Demis Hassabis 表示，AGI 可能在未来两到三年内到来，而他今年早些时候给出的估计是三到五年。他把 AGI 定义为一个能匹配人脑完整认知范围的系统，并用爱因斯坦测试作为判断标准，即一个只用 1901 年前知识训练的系统能否复现爱因斯坦 1905 年的论文。Hassabis 曾把 AGI 的影响比作十倍速的工业革命，离开 Google DeepMind 后他专注于 Google 的药物发现 AI 衍生公司 Isomorphic Labs，近期还提出由行业出资、政府控制的监督委员会在模型发布前进行审查。
推荐理由
AI 评分 60
Hassabis 把 AGI 时间表从三到五年缩短到两到三年，并给出爱因斯坦测试作为判断标准，可对照他此前的公开表态。
主题
正文
当前显示原文，中文全文译文尚未就绪。
Demis Hassabis, Google Deepmind founder and Nobel laureate in chemistry, now believes AGI could arrive within two to three years. He defines AGI as a system matching the full cognitive range of the human brain.
That timeline keeps shrinking. Earlier this year , he said three to five years. "It's going to happen soon. My estimate keeps moving closer to the present," he told the Wall Street Journal . His litmus test is the "Einstein test": Could a system trained only on pre-1901 knowledge reproduce Einstein's 1905 papers?
Hassabis has compared AGI's impact to "10 times the industrial revolution at 10 times the speed." Since stepping down from Google DeepMind , he's focused on Google's drug discovery AI spin-off Isomorphic Labs . On safety, he recently pitched an industry-funded oversight board under government control to vet models before release. Bad regulation, he warns, is worse than none.