Anthropic 员工预期并非直接 GDP 预测
Good clarification from @ben_moll .
Peter McCrory 引用 Ben Moll 的澄清称，相关数字是模型隐含的增长情景，而非直接的 GDP 预测。他表示，Anthropic 员工预期模型能力更强、扩散更快、AI 被使用时生产率提升更大，这些因素在模型中会加速增长。
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查看原帖Looking at the source https://t.co/ZoIzi5qaQ8, it’s actually very different from what @scaling01’s tweet makes it sound like: it’s not actually what the employees say about GDP growth; instead it’s their answers to other questions being fed into Anthropic’s econ model which generates the GDP numbers. I bet Anthropic employees would actually be more…
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Looking at the source https://t.co/ZoIzi5qaQ8, it’s actually very different from what @scaling01’s tweet makes it sound like: it’s not actually what the employees say about GDP growth; instead it’s their answers to other questions being fed into Anthropic’s econ model which generates the GDP numbers. I bet Anthropic employees would actually be more reasonable than the model when asked about GDP growth directly!
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Good clarification from @ben_moll .
These are model-implied scenarios for growth rather than direct GDP forecasts.
Anthropic staff expect more capable models, faster diffusion, and greater productivity gains from AI when its used. In the model, such forces accelerate growth.