Nathan Lambert：前沿节奏调控想法虽好但不可行
I think pacing the frontier is good as an idea in principle but dead on arrival as something you can actually do. What will we, decide which benchmarks we can i
我认为，从原则上讲，调控前沿节奏作为一个想法是好的，但作为一件你实际能做的事情，它一出生就死了。我们会怎样——决定我们能在哪些基准上取得进步？谁参与其中？ 如果我们停止推动“能力”，我们会做大量关于群体智能 + 效率的研究，而这会带来其他风险。 它分散了注意力，让人忽视了大量 AI 风险其实仅仅来自把我们已有的东西扩散出去，而我们应该投资于准备、推动实验室更加谨慎等等。 来改变我的想法？
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I think pacing the frontier is good as an idea in principle but dead on arrival as something you can actually do. What will we, decide which benchmarks we can improve on? Who is involved?
If we stop pushing "capabilities" we'll do a ton of research on swarms + efficiency which will bring on other risks.
It distracts from how so much of AI risks is simply coming from diffusing what we have, and we should invest in preparedness, pushing the labs to be more careful, etc.
Change my mind?