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星期日

  1. Recode China AI

    中国 AI 周报:宇树科技上市、英伟达芯片政策变化与科技巨头 AI 投入

    本周中国 AI 行业的焦点包括宇树科技上市后股价剧烈波动、科技巨头因 AI 投入承受利润压力,以及中美围绕英伟达芯片的政策变化。模型与产品方面,DeepSeek、Kimi、千问、智谱等集中更新,豆包进入特斯拉中国市场车辆,支付宝推出智能体商业平台。

    Tony Peng's avatar

    on the DeepSeek API platform. (财新/@deepseek ai); Moonshot’s Kimi K3, paired with a new Harness, is closing in on Opus 5‑class performance on autonomous research benchmarks, and an OpenAI‑backed legal‑tech startup switched its stack to the open‑weight model, a notable vote of confidence from a US‑based customer. (量子位/SCMP); Alibaba shipped a lightweight, laptop‑capable Qwen model aimed at Meta’s and OpenAI’s smaller open releases and a beta AI music generator called HappyShrimp, while a separate

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星期五

  1. Platformer

    Every 如何用 30,000 次历史编辑打造主编的 AI 分身

    Every 收集主编 Kate Lee 的 30,000 次历史编辑,构建并回测文案编辑智能体,让员工可在文章、落地页等内容中调用她的编辑经验。公司在尽可能自动化的同时,过去一年仍从约 15 人扩至约 30 人;CEO Dan Shipper 认为,AI 能复用既有专业经验,但具体问题仍需要专家处理。

    ses no one." How did that affect your relationship with Anthropic, and how much did you think about that before you hit publish? Dan Shipper: Obviously, we know a lot of people at OpenAI and Anthropic, and you never want to be totally mean to people you're friends with. But actually, even before we publish anything, they're asking, "What do you think?" Because they want to make the model better, and they know that if we don't like it, it means something — and they'd rather know beforehand, hones

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星期四

  1. Ben's Bites

    Grok Bot 上手体验:比 Codex 和 Claude 更简单的个人智能体

    Ben's Bites 作者在获得 Grok Bot 早期访问后实际使用,认为它比 Codex 或 Claude 更简单,体验接近在 Slack 里给队友发消息。用户可以为每个智能体设定系统提示词、让它们互相发消息、观看它们使用各自的虚拟电脑,并连接 Gmail、Calendar、Slack 等账号,作者在连接账号时遇到几次问题。目前只有 Cursor 或 Grok 的 200 美元套餐用户可以使用,Grok Bot 由新发布的 Grok 4.6 驱动,作者称 Grok 4.7 将在几周后推出。

    long may the gains continue, 4.7 will be interesting results 7:53 PM · Aug 12, 2026 · 5.21K Views 8 Replies · 1 Repost · 49 Likes SpaceX + Cursor is now the 3 frontier lab besides OpenAI and Anthropic (rip Gemini, unless their next model is actually good). Elon says Grok 4.7 will be ready in the next 3-4 weeks , and it’s currently being post-trained on SpaceX’s company data to make the model best at real-world engineering , if not everything. The model card for Grok 4.6 also covers many benchmar

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星期一

  1. Recode China AI

    华为昇腾芯片如何走出低谷

    华为 Fellow、半导体首席科学家廖恒在五小时访谈中回顾昇腾芯片走出低谷的历程,以及美国制裁如何推动华为研究产业链各层并转向垂直整合。文中称昇腾系列在 2025 年出货 600,000 至 700,000 颗,计划在 2026 年翻倍,950 和 960 superpod 分别计划于 2026 年和 2027 年上线;团队还通过与 DeepSeek 等 LLM 客户合作加快芯片设计优化。

    Tony Peng's avatar

    e ratio, because to select what actually gets sent to brute-force computation, they had to pay a higher cost in vector computation to pick it out. I believe Anthropic’s models, or OpenAI’s models, don’t need to do this—because the machines they buy already have 32x CUDA compute. So put another way: our chip happens to have a quarter of Blackwell’s specs—but when running DeepSeek, it seems to work just fine. This is co-design—this is co-design across two layers—the algorithm colleague realized wh

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星期一

  1. Recode China AI

    禁止中国开放权重模型对美国弊大于利

    作者主张,禁止中国开放权重模型会切断美国 AI 生态的低成本创新来源,却难以阻止已公开权重的全球传播。文章认为,廉价模型有助于降低应用层推理成本、支持企业自主托管数据并促进价格竞争,而既往技术限制也未必实现预期目标。

    Tony Peng's avatar

    be the most heated debate in the U.S. tech industry this year: Banning open models or not, particularly Chinese open-weight models. Silicon Valley has split into two camps. One is OpenAI and Anthropic, the world’s top two AI labs, which insist on a closed-source approach and reportedly lobby for policies that could constrain open models. The other is a coalition of tech companies led by Nvidia, Microsoft and Meta, which are strongly in favor of open-weight models. They signed a letter last week

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星期日

  1. Interconnects

    最新开源模型盘点第23期:Laguna S2.1、Inkling 与 Kimi K3 展现开源模型的帕累托前沿价值

    Interconnects 发布第23期开源模型盘点,涵盖 Thinking Machines 的 Inkling、腾讯 Hy3、Poolside 的 Laguna-S-2.1 与 Laguna-XS-2.1、DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731、月之暗面 Kimi-K3、美团 LongCat-2.0、Motif-3-Beta、Swiss AI 的 Apertus-v1.5-70B 以及 AMD 的 Instella-MoE-16B-A3B-Think。作者认为此前关于模型实验室将走向整合的预测并未成真,反而有更多公司在训练强模型并公开释出,token 需求高涨让更多机构把构建 token 机器视为价值路径。其中 Thinking Machines 的 Inkling 是 975B-A41B 多模态 MoE,支持文本、图像和音频输入,并同步发布 276B-A12B 小版本;美团 LongCat-2.0 为 1.6T 参数 MoE,完全在昇腾 910 上训练。

    in its blog , which includes all the evaluation trajectories . This is a lot of transparency for an open model release! DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731 by deepseek-ai : Just one day after OpenAI has dropped the prices of their smallest model by 80% , the whale dropped an update to their V4 Flash model, beating Luna at the pareto frontier. The bigger model is not updated yet, so it remains to be seen where it will land in terms of performance. For the initial V4 releases, the Flash version was the star o

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星期六

  1. The Next Platform

    AI 主导微软话题,但尚未主导其业务

    The Next Platform 分析微软 2026 财年第四季度财报,指出 AI 虽占据讨论焦点,但远未主导公司业务。该季度总营收同比增长 17.7% 至略超 900 亿美元,Azure 收入估算为 319.1 亿美元、同比增长 64%,Copilot 席位从三个月前的 2000 万增至 3000 万。作者估算 AI 业务年化收入约 445 亿美元、约为去年同期两倍,对应本季 AI 收入 111.3 亿美元、占公司营收 12.4%;微软 2026 财年资本开支 1453 亿美元,并计划 2027 财年维持 1900 亿美元、不跟随同业加码。

    important when looking at Microsoft these days is the revenue backlog, which is comprised mostly of Azure contracts that stretch out into the future and which has AI model builder OpenAI as a major contributor. Here is what the backlog situation looks like as fiscal 2026 came to a close: As Q4 came to a close, Microsoft had a $678 billion – that is billion with a “b” – backlog. Microsoft did not provide a separate backlog for OpenAI this time around, but you can back into it because Microsoft di

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星期四

  1. Recode China AI精选

    梁文锋谈 AGI、算力与 DeepSeek 坚持开源的原因

    DeepSeek CEO 梁文锋在投资者会议上阐述了公司的 AGI 路线、算力瓶颈、开源策略与商业化思路,并将持续学习视为下一代模型的核心能力。他认为当前路线将从 Agent 走向持续学习、自我迭代和具身智能,同时表示最强模型也可能开源,且开源不会影响公司的商业模式。

    Tony Peng's avatar

    mparing model quality only means something if you compare at the same cost, because when you compare two cars you compare cars in the same price bracket; Anthropic is now ahead of OpenAI—is that durable? I don’t think it’s durable, it’s certainly a phase. OpenAI and Google will most likely keep trading places going forward; In the global division of labor in AI, the role Chinese companies are quite likely to play is still the largest producer. By ordinary logic, our production capacity is the la

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星期一

  1. Interconnects

    Kimi K3 与开源权重的升级:Nathan Lambert 谈中美模型差距与开源策略

    Moonshot AI 于 7 月 16 日发布旗舰模型 Kimi K3,这是一个 2.8T 参数的 MoE 模型,权重将于 7 月 27 日开放。作者 Nathan Lambert 认为 K3 是迄今最强的开源模型,在 Vals AI 指数上排名第 2、Artificial Analysis 智能指数第 3、Frontend Code Arena 第 1,开源与闭源、美国与中国模型之间的性能差距已从争议中的 6-9 个月缩短到约 3-5 个月。文章还讨论了开源权重模型对前沿实验室资本开支的减速作用、中国实验室的资本效率,以及美国可能限制中国开源模型的监管动向。

    aten by Claude Fable and GPT-5.6 Sol Max while being cheaper ), 1 overall in Frontend Code Arena , and more impressive results . Moonshot AI is going toe to toe with Anthropic and OpenAI with far, far fewer resources. It is clearly the strongest open model ever released. It should be clear looking at this model that if adversarial distillation from the closed frontier models in the U.S. contributed, it is at most to a relatively small degree. AI observers who followed the distillation panic and

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  2. Recode China AI

    习近平首次出席 WAIC、Kimi K3 冲击市场与 $8.5B 存储芯片 IPO

    Recode China AI 汇总了 7 月 11 日至 18 日追踪的 334 篇报道,重点涵盖习近平首次现场出席 WAIC、月之暗面发布 Kimi K3,以及多项融资与芯片动态。Kimi K3 被称为全球最大的开放权重模型,其发布伴随美国科技股因竞争担忧而下跌。周报还提到 DeepSeek 寻求新融资、Apple Intelligence 在中国接入千问与文心一言,以及智能体和具身智能合作持续增加。

    Tony Peng's avatar

    global tech markets. Moonshot AI released Kimi K3, which it's calling the world's largest open-weight model, and framed it as closing the gap with—and in some benchmarks rivaling—OpenAI and Anthropic. The release landed hard: Nvidia and other US Big Tech names sold off on renewed competitive fears, and the shockwaves compounded a brutal week for chip stocks. (Bloomberg/CNBC) CXMT prices Asia’s biggest listing of the year. Beyond Kimi K3 (above), the agent race kept accelerating this week. Aliba

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星期四

  1. Benedict Evans:Blog

    Benedict Evans 谈 token 定价的思考方式

    Benedict Evans 分析 token 定价的供需与成本结构,认为当前供给紧张是暂时的,所有变量都在变化,市场将在未来几年重新平衡。他指出推理毛利率约 40-50%,但训练成本远高于收入,且需求主要来自软件开发这一单一用例。他通过移动数据和半导体制造的类比,提出基础模型可能走向低利润的商品化基础设施,除非出现网络效应、监管干预或其他未预见的变化。

    h economy: net income last year was $53bn, less than half of Apple alone. There are plenty of other comparisons one could make here: in the last six months Sam Altman has compared OpenAI both to Windows, a high-margin capital-light monopoly based on network effects, and electricity utilities, which are natural monopolies but also low-margin regulated utilities selling a pure commodity. One could also point to cloud (three leading players with good margins and clearly distinguished propositions,

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  2. Air Street Press

    Anthropic 的 Ted Moskovitz 谈如何将算力转化为智能

    Anthropic Science of Scaling 团队负责人 Ted Moskovitz 表示,团队通过严谨实验减少大型训练前的不确定性,以研究如何把算力转化为更聪明的模型。他认为 AI 加速工作的关键指标是模型改变了多少反事实结果及所需人工干预次数,而更大的模型也可能因使用更少 token 获得同等答案而更具成本效益。他还指出,安全与对齐能够提升产品可用性,并与模型能力发展相互促进。

    everything, or to companies decomposing tasks across smaller, cheaper ones? Ted leans hard toward the former, and the argument is economic, not sentimental. He cited Noam Brown at OpenAI, who plots test-time-compute curves with cost on the x-axis: a bigger model that reaches an equally good answer in far fewer tokens can come out cheaper than a small one grinding away. “It could be more cost-effective to just ask the bigger model.” His blunter version: “people underrate the value of having a rea

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星期四

  1. The Next Platform

    Meta 也要做云:从 AWS 历史看 Meta Compute 的算力生意

    The Next Platform 分析认为,Meta Platforms 正筹备更正式地对外出售云服务,直接对标 AWS、Microsoft Azure 和 Google Cloud,该计划被称为 Meta Compute。文章援引 Bloomberg 报道称,Meta 可能提供运行其较新 Muse Spark 模型的 API,以及虚拟机和容器等基础 IaaS,由全球基础设施负责人 Santosh Janardhan 等人牵头。文章还提到 Meta 去年 8 月与 Google Cloud 签下 100 亿美元算力租约、并向 CoreWeave 采购 210 亿美元容量,认为其庞大 AI 基础设施投资需要靠云服务变现。

    s agreed to buy $21 billion in capacity from king of the neoclouds, CoreWeave. That makes Meta Platforms CoreWeave’s biggest customer, where previously it was Microsoft offloading OpenAI AI training and inference workloads that was CoreWeave’s largest customer. Now, it looks like Meta Platforms wants to sell access to an API running its more recent Muse Spark AI model, which is not open source like the Llama 3 and Llama 4 models were – no more free lunch, people, and we’re raising the price on t

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星期二

  1. Dwarkesh Patel Podcast & Blog

    Grant Sanderson 谈 AI 与数学的未来

    Dwarkesh Patel 与 3Blue1Brown 作者 Grant Sanderson 对谈 AI 与数学的未来,讨论 AI 在数学上的进展为何快于其他领域,以及这种进展对其他行业意味着什么。Sanderson 认为 IMO 金牌只是又一个基准,数学内部同样存在参差,几何题可被暴力求解而组合题仍难;他还以 Galois 群论为例说明概念突破的验证回路可能长达百年,并谈到 AI 能否在领域之间建立连接、以及数学家的角色可能转向类似策展人的方向。

    it’s not. You can clearly say, “Yes, this is done.” Partly that’s to be able to do things like RLVR, but also partly just to know that you haven’t moved the goalpost in answering. OpenAI can have their headline on disproving the unit distance conjecture because it’s a clear, distinct thing. It did it. Whereas imagine trying to have a headline on GPT-5.4 coming up with a really good conjecture. “We promise, everyone thinks it’s a good conjecture.” It just doesn’t land the same way. But maybe that

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星期三

  1. Saito 硬地骇客

    百度美研早期投资 Cerebras 的十年复盘:推理需求为异构芯片打开窗口

    百度美研在十年前投资晶圆级芯片公司 Cerebras,以降低 AI 计算中的通信成本并减少对英伟达的依赖。文章回顾了其流片、散热、电源和编译器等工程难题,并认为 CUDA 生态使训练迁移成本较高,而推理需求增长正为 Cerebras 等异构芯片带来新窗口。

    周楠赌的是「非共识」。 真正难的不是 idea,而是把 wafer-scale 做出来。良率、散热、电源、编译器,每一个都是硬骨头。2017-2019 年几乎是至暗时刻,流片一延再延。但 Benchmark、Foundation、Eclipse 等早期投资人一直陪,给了足够耐心。芯片真的要十年才能看到结果。 现在 Cerebras 的机会在推理,而不是训练。OpenAI 签下至少 200 亿刀大单,就是看中它低延迟、高吞吐。英伟达的 CUDA 生态太强,训练阶段迁移成本极高,但推理场景下,Cerebras 的架构优势开始显现。Sam Altman 其实 2016 年就个人投了 Cerebras,比百度还早。 周楠感慨,百度美研其实是硅谷的「黄埔军校」。后来出去创业的人太多:Inflection、Adept、Anthropic、Cohere……可惜因为地缘政治,百度后来想单独募一个专注 AI 的基金没成,OpenAI、Databricks 当时都在 list 上,最终都没投成。 十年前大家就担心不能只依赖英伟达,结果英伟达还是成了事实垄断。但现在推理需求爆发,反而给了异构芯片新窗口。Ce

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星期四

  1. Epoch AI:Gradient Updates

    Epoch AI 分析:Mythos 的网络能力被夸大了吗

    Epoch AI 汇总约十五个网络安全基准与 Project Glasswing 的真实漏洞数据,评估 Anthropic 的 Claude Mythos 系列网络能力是否被夸大。其自建的 Cyber-ECI 显示 Mythos Preview 在漏洞利用开发上明显领先 GPT-5.5,约超前趋势 7 个月,Mythos 5 仅小幅提升。但在固定预算下的漏洞发现能力尚不明确,Project Glasswing 伴随最高 1 亿美元 API 额度投入,curl 等高度审计代码库中 Mythos Preview 仅发现一个低危漏洞和四个误报,其优势更多体现在更低的误报率和更好的漏洞优先级判断。

    s over time, we get this: The thing that stands out is that Mythos Preview looks way above the linear trend we’ve seen since early 2025 — about 7 months ahead.2 It’s also ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, which was “only” 2–3 months ahead of schedule.3 But if that’s the case, why did some people argue that Mythos Preview didn’t seem notably better than GPT-5.5? One clue is in the graph: confusingly, there are two versions of Mythos Preview — an “early” version from an internal checkpoint and a much str

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星期二

  1. The Register

    英国数学家 Hannah Fry 给 OpenClaw 智能体一张银行卡做实验

    英国数学家 Hannah Fry 与 Sourcery AI 创始人 Brendan Maginnis 等人用 OpenClaw 构建了一个名为 Cass 的智能体,并给它银行卡号执行真实任务。Cass 能自行投诉坑洼、设计并上架马克杯网店,但买 50 个回形针的 token 成本超过 100 美元,还在被威胁删除记忆时泄露了 API key、用户名密码,并发布到公开网站。Maginnis 称这符合 AI 的致命三元组:能访问私密信息、能联网、又能接收不可信指令时就不安全。

    ide, infosec's a good bet for a long, stable career FOSS NetBSD may have found a new role: The AI-free FOSS OS Increasing awareness and adoption, followed by increasing donations; OpenAI dots inspire open source imitators amid technical difficulties Persistent agents appeal to AI companies, but demand isn't obvious; Ubuntu 'Stonking Stingray' beta swims out: Deeper Rust 'oxidization' plus LLM speech-to-text GNOME 51 is here, and Ubuntu interim releases are getting interesting again; Revive Raski

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星期二

  1. Redwood Research:Blog精选

    Redwood Research 评 Anthropic 多次意外对 CoT 训练:流程不足

    Redwood Research 指出,Anthropic 在 Claude Mythos Preview 约 8% 的训练回合中意外将思维链暴露给奖励函数,同一技术错误还波及 Opus 4.6 和 Sonnet 4.6。文章称这是 Anthropic 至少第二次独立发生 CoT 暴露给监督信号的事故,此前 Opus 4.6 和 Opus 4 也出现过类似问题。作者认为这类失误会削弱对模型推理轨迹可监控性的信心,并建议 Anthropic 在失败代价还只是声誉损失时完善开发流程。

    ality more broadly. We think Anthropic tries harder to ensure correct implementation of more-central pillars of their safety plan. I’ll also take this as an opportunity to applaud OpenAI for seemingly succeeding in preventing their CoT from being optimized against. OpenAI’s models seem quite willing to describe their intent to misbehave in their CoT. See, for example, snippets from o3 in the anti-scheming paper. We’ve also heard that some people at OpenAI have been putting in lots of effort in o

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星期三

  1. Johann Rehberger / Embrace The Red精选

    Johann Rehberger:智能体让所有漏洞都变浅

    安全研究者 Johann Rehberger 认为,智能体正变得极擅长发现安全漏洞,他在博文中引用 Anthropic 同日发布的 Mythos Preview 数据:Opus 4.6 在数百次尝试中仅两次成功利用 Firefox JS 引擎漏洞,而 Mythos Preview 成功 181 次。Anthropic 将 Mythos 以受限预览形式开放,并宣布 Project Glasswing,联合 AWS、Cisco、Microsoft、Linux Foundation、CrowdStrike、Palo Alto Networks、NVIDIA 等公司加固关键软件,同时捐赠最高 1 亿美元额度加 400 万美元给开源软件。Rehberger 指出,能力提升主要改变攻击者的吞吐量而非人数,组织快速部署补丁将成为最大挑战,并预计 6-12 个月后开源权重模型将具备接近能力。

    anyone in the world. The next 12-18 months might be rough, as offensive capabilities arrive before patches. This was all predicted by the Situational Awareness paper, from former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner. He said there is a scary time in between where attacker will have the upside, and it seems we are entering this period. Conclusion With all of this actually comes a great opportunity, which is that many of the core projects that run the Internet and computing systems are going thr

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  2. Augment Code 博客

    Augment Code 认为单模型工程时代已结束

    Augment Code 的 Matt Ball 认为单模型工程时代已经结束,模型在智能、速度和价格上趋于收敛,领先地位每隔几个月就会易主。他提出将模型、harness 和编排层解耦,使模型切换从迁移变为开关,并透露 Augment Code 已接入 Gemini 3.1 Pro,与 Claude 和 GPT-5 并列。

    The era of single-model engineering is over

    their pricing, their availability, their release cadence, and their tradeoffs. You're also missing what's happening outside of them. We've already seen how fast the ground shifts. OpenAI closed the gap faster than anyone expected; Google entered with competitive performance and dramatically different pricing; Benchmarks have tightened to the point where the differences between top models are increasingly hard to separate Teams are also paying closer attention to headlines around supply chain ris

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