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  1. One Useful Thing

    Ethan Mollick: The chatbot era is ending, and work is shifting to managing agents

    Ethan Mollick argues that, as the length of tasks AI can complete autonomously keeps lengthening, the mainstream usage is shifting from collaborating with chatbots to handing work over to agents. Citing benchmarks such as METR, the UK AI Safety Institute, and GDPval, he says capabilities are improving faster than exponential growth; Epoch found that Opus 4.7 worked autonomously for 14 hours to complete a software package that would originally have required 2-17 weeks of human engineering, at a cost of $251 in tokens. He also mentions that joint research by OpenAI and academics shows that within OpenAI, non-technical roles such as legal and HR are adopting agents at a pace close to that of programmers, with a quarter of employees running at least four agents simultaneously each week.

    Ethan Mollick argues that, as the length of tasks AI can complete autonomously keeps lengthening, the mainstream usage is shifting from collaborating with chatbots to handing work over to agents. Citing benchmarks such as METR, the UK AI Safety Institute, and GDPval, he says capabilities are improving faster than exponential growth; Epoch found that Opus 4.7 worked autonomously for 14 hours to complete a software package that would originally have required 2-17 weeks of human engineering, at a c

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