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Rohan Paul更新于 10月30日 14:35

Oracle 预计 2029 财年自由现金流至少 300 亿美元

Oracle now targets at least $30B in free cash flow for fiscal 2029, when investors expected negative cash.

AI 导读

Oracle 在投资者日给出目标,预计 2029 财年自由现金流至少 300 亿美元,而投资者此前预期为负值。公司 2026 财年为给 OpenAI 等客户建设 AI 数据中心消耗了 237 亿美元自由现金流,今年计划资本开支 900 亿至 950 亿美元。CFO Hilary Maxson 表示现金流转正将出现在 2028 财年下半年,前提是资本开支在 2027 和 2028 财年见顶后回落,新产能开始产生收入。Oracle 还将截至 2030 财年的新增融资上限设为 200 亿美元,股权与债务各半,此前已完成 200 亿美元股票发售。消息公布后股价一度上涨 9.6%,而该股今年截至周二累计下跌 33%。

推荐理由

AI 评分 60

Oracle 给出 2029 财年自由现金流目标与资本开支节奏,读者可据此理解 AI 数据中心投入的回收路径。

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Oracle now targets at least $30B in free cash flow for fiscal 2029, when investors expected negative cash.

Oracle burned $23.7B of free cash flow in fiscal 2026 building AI data centers for OpenAI and others, and plans $90B to $95B of capex this year.

In September, CFO Hilary Maxson refused to say when that drain would end; At Investor Day today she put the turn in the second half of fiscal 2028.

The plan depends on capital spending peaking in fiscal 2027 and 2028, then stepping down as new capacity starts earning revenue.

Oracle also capped further capital raising through fiscal 2030 at $20B, split evenly between equity and gross debt, beyond a $20B share sale it already completed.

Customer prepayments, customer-supplied hardware and vendor financing are meant to cover much of the remaining upfront cost.

The shares jumped as much as 9.6% after falling 33% this year through Tuesday.

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Rohan Paul