Apollo首席经济学家Slok发布看空AI报告
Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok just published a gloomy report on AI.
Apollo首席经济学家Torsten Slok发布看空AI的报告，认为主流企业不需要最新模型也不愿付费，token支出已成为拖累利润率的成本中心。他指出全要素生产率增长接近0%，AI的宏观影响将非常有限，智能体AI与token支出仍局限于少数企业。他还认为廉价商品化模型难以弥补差距，因为商业价值依赖判断力、问责、信任和AI不理解的潜规则。
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Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok just published a gloomy report on AI.
imo, other signals I’m watching don’t really support these.
> Slok says mainstream firms don’t need the latest model and won’t pay for it, and with no bottom-line gain they now treat token spending as a cost center that weighs on margins.
> He says, total factor productivity growth sits near 0%, and Slok expects AI’s macro effect to stay very limited while agentic AI and token spending remain confined to a small slice of firms.
> Argues cheaper, commoditized models may not close the gap, because per him, business value depends on judgment, accountability, trust and unwritten rules that AI doesn’t understand.