Anthropic 报告：员工预计 2030 年 AI 承担 75% 现有工作，美国公众仅 28%
Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their current work by 2030; US workers say 28%.
Anthropic 一份新研究报告显示，其员工预计到 2030 年 AI 将完成他们当前 75% 的工作，而美国劳动者给出的比例是 28%。预期差距随任务难度扩大，91% 的员工认为 AI 到 2030 年能做出诺奖级发现，公众中这一比例为 39%。
推荐理由
AI 评分 52
Anthropic 员工与美国公众对 AI 替代工作的预期差距，随任务难度上升而扩大，可作为观察行业内外认知落差的参照。
主题
查看原帖在Anthropic规模扩大至三倍的同时，其技术岗位员工中初级员工的比例从21%降至14%，约三分之一的Anthropic机器学习经理和五分之一的软件工程经理表示，AI让他们减少了招聘。 同一时期，其智能体记录的工作时长达到人类工作时长的6倍。https://t.co/jBpoeyPvv8
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Anthropic’s junior share of technical headcount slid from 21% to 14% while the company tripled in size, and about a third of Anthropic’s ML managers and a fifth of its SWE managers said AI has them hiring less. During the same time its agents logged 6x human hours. https://t.co/jBpoeyPvv8
正文
Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their current work by 2030; US workers say 28%.
The gap grows with difficulty: 91% of staff expect AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, against 39% of the public.
- From Anthropics, new research report. https://t.co/1cLvEInUij